Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.308558 4.133735e-01 0.535226 0.685175 0.862541 1.063547 1.306407
2025-12-21 0.163523 2.826757e-01 0.444500 0.670154 0.966498 1.332692 1.809298
2025-12-28 0.090525 2.069778e-01 0.392108 0.681174 1.095120 1.641888 2.393047
2026-01-04 0.047472 1.505478e-01 0.344391 0.681624 1.202906 1.930736 2.974608
2026-01-11 0.021393 1.037342e-01 0.291794 0.657568 1.265857 2.159044 3.489161
2026-01-18 0.008658 7.209104e-02 0.251333 0.639905 1.330298 2.389065 4.016020
2026-01-25 0.003315 5.313765e-02 0.227402 0.643673 1.425447 2.667026 4.622374
2026-02-01 0.000711 3.515886e-02 0.194007 0.618403 1.464756 2.858841 5.109991
2026-02-08 0.000158 2.804969e-02 0.187054 0.646215 1.598750 3.204595 5.838484
2026-02-15 0.000004 2.009208e-02 0.170622 0.647510 1.682170 3.471871 6.457612
2026-02-22 NaN 1.760458e-02 0.173931 0.696914 1.860678 3.902499 7.340572
2026-03-01 NaN 1.422096e-02 0.170151 0.726967 2.002956 4.278256 8.149791
2026-03-08 NaN 1.026287e-02 0.159218 0.736752 2.108312 4.601727 8.897044
2026-03-15 NaN 6.396860e-03 0.141805 0.723393 2.164454 4.843664 9.524732
2026-03-22 NaN 4.437775e-03 0.133964 0.736289 2.276613 5.187541 10.325420
2026-03-29 NaN 2.765095e-03 0.123447 0.737411 2.362457 5.487603 11.063190
2026-04-05 NaN 1.298854e-03 0.106904 0.712296 2.386350 5.676482 11.624481
2026-04-12 NaN 5.413180e-04 0.093708 0.693766 2.422206 5.887152 12.226020
2026-04-19 NaN 2.445997e-04 0.087007 0.697838 2.511076 6.198432 13.001754
2026-04-26 NaN 4.488667e-05 0.074237 0.671117 2.521909 6.362936 13.534896
2026-05-03 NaN 1.916186e-05 0.074078 0.700592 2.674631 6.801661 14.540686
2026-05-10 NaN 1.407510e-06 0.068389 0.701974 2.755939 7.105879 15.324078
2026-05-17 NaN 8.680274e-07 0.072692 0.754246 2.971903 7.676334 16.572782